Sunday, August 20, 2006

Testing the Long-Range Predictions

Two weeks have passed since I boldly suggested some predictions in the NRL and the AFL... How am I going.

NRL
"Sea Eagles (26) - How they respond to a tough run home will shape their entire season." - Result on 30 points with two wins.
Eels (24) - Their current form (see previous post) should see them finish in the top 4, and from there it is anyone's game. - Result, Finish Round 24 in the top 4.
The others:
If the form of some of the top eight has been underwhelming lately, it has still often been better than those outside.
- None of the teams outside the eight have a reasonable shot at it anymore.

Assessment - Pretty close to the mark.

AFL
I Said
1. The Swans actually look like they deserve to win games (unlike in June)
2. The top 3 non-Victorian teams look stronger than the 4 Victorian teams in the finals.
3. Sydney will have to beat both the West Coast and Adelaide to win a second premiership.
4. If Sydney lose against either Adelaide or West Coast in the first week of the finals, then they will still have to beat them both to win the premiership.

Result -
1. They still look good.
2. The top 4 Victorian Teams are all in there now...
3. The make up of the major finals is now uncertain due to an Adelaide form slump.
4. If Sydney lose any games from here on in, it could be fatal.